Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (May 2019)
▶ Although real GDP in Q1 expanded for the second consecutive quarter, there are reasons for concern as the demand-side GDP components declined QoQ. Growth was mainly driven by the expansion in private inventory changes and declining imports.
▶ For Q2, we forecast real annualized GDP growth of +0.9% (expenditure side). The production-side forecast is an annualized +1.2%. The forecasts from the past three weeks, however, suggest a negative trend. We forecast a GDP deflator of -0.0% QoQ in Q2.
著者
Director, Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis INADA, Yoshihisa
Professor emeritus, Konan University
Macroeconomics, Applied Econometrics, Economic Forecasting
KARAVASILEV, Yani
Researcher
foreign direct investment, international recruitment, corporate agenda setting
関連論文
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Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.63
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Gradual recovery driven by domestic demand expected to continue.
Soaring prices and global economic trends remain risk factors.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.142
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Soaring inflation and global economic slowdown take a toll on the Japanese economy
– Real GDP growth forecast: +1.3% in FY 2022, +0.9% in FY 2023, +1.5% in FY 2024 –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (February 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q1 is an annualized -5.1%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.4% QoQ in 2023 Q1.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 118 (February 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Growing risks of rising consumer prices and overseas economic slowdown –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 117 (January 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Growing uncertainties pose downside risks for the economy –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (January 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +2.1%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.0% QoQ in 2022 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.62
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Revised Outlook for Kansai’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate
Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5%in FY 2022, +1.2% in FY 2023, +1.5% in FY 2024
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.141
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Revised Outlook for Japan’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate
– Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5% in FY 2022, +1.1% in FY 2023, +1.4% in FY 2024 –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 116 (December 2022)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Inflation and global economic slowdown pose risks –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (December 2022)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +1.5%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +1.9% QoQ in 2022 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.