– Current and future outlook: Kansai’s economy is at a phase change.

The deteriorating international situation poses risks※–

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Forecast updates

▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q1 is an annualized -3.2%.

▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +0.4% QoQ in 2022 Q1.

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–  Current and future outlook for Kansai’s economy remains at a phase change  –

The international situation and high oil prices pose risks

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Forecast updates

▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q1 is an annualized -5.0%.

▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +0.3% QoQ in 2022 Q1.

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Forecast updates

▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q1 is an annualized -3.7%.

▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +0.4% QoQ in 2022 Q1.

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Uncertainties dim outlook for a full-fledged recovery

– In addition to the COVID-19 pandemic, the international situation, soaring energy prices, and other factors are exerting downward pressure on Kansai’s economy-

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Japan’s economic recovery will stall: new covid-19 variants, high energy prices and weak exchange rate pose risks

– Real GDP will grow +2.4% in FY 2021, +2.3% in FY 2022, +1.7% in FY 2023 –

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– Kansai’s economy is at a standstill, likely to remain sluggish –
Higher oil prices and the spread of Omicron pose risks

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– Kansai’s economy is at a standstill, likely to remain sluggish –
Semiconductor shortage eases but the spread of Omicron remains a risk factor

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