Research

Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol.75 (July 2019)

Summary: Further economic deterioration in sight

・ Production in May expanded MoM for the second month in a row.
・ Although Kansai registered a trade surplus for the first time in two months in June, both exports and imports shrank YoY.
・ The Economy Watchers’ Diffusion Index (DI)  in June deteriorated MoM for the second consecutive month.
・ Both nominal and real wages in April decreased YoY for the second consecutive month.
・ Sales by large retailers in May expanded YoY for the first time in two months.
・ The number of new housing starts in May plummeted sharply (-27.5% YoY), decreasing for the second consecutive month.
・ Although the effective job offers-to-applicants ratio in May declined slightly, the absolute numbers of both job offers and applicants increased. The unemployment rate remained unchanged.
・ Construction works in May expanded YoY for the 15th month in a row. However, public works contracts declined.
・ The number of international arrivals at Kansai International Airport in June grew YoY for the ninth month in a row.
・ China’s Q2 real GDP expanded +6.2% YoY, the slowest growth rate since 1992.

関連論文

  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.60

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Kansai’s economy is picking up, but the speed of     recovery varies significantly across industries.

    Despite the weak outlook, increased investment across the entire region is    expected to bring about an economic turnaround

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.139

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Growth rate revised downward to reflect weak export prospects

    – Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5% in FY2022, +1.5% in FY2023 –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 112 (August 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    –  Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory, but the high number of new infections and inflation remain risk factors –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (July 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q2 is an annualized +1.4%.

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -1.3% QoQ in 2022 Q2.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 111 (July 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    – Kansai’s economy is expected to keep improving.

    Consumption is expected to pick up moderately, but rising prices might exert downward pressure –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (June 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q2 is an annualized +0.7%.

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -1.1% QoQ in 2022 Q2.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 110 (June 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    – Kansai’s economy is expected to keep improving.

    As China’s economy is slowing down, domestic service spending is expected to drive recovery.-

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (May 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q2 is an annualized -0.4%.

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -1.3% QoQ in 2022 Q2.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.59

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Overseas factors casting a shadow on the normalization of economic activity.

    China’s zero-COVID policy will have a major impact on Kansai’s economy.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.138

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    China’s zero-covid policy, high oil prices, and the weak yen pose risks to Japan’s economic recovery

    – Real GDP growth forecast: +1.9% in FY2022, +1.7% in FY2023 –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF