Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (July 2019)
▶ We forecast a real annualized GDP growth of +1.5% in Q2 (expenditure side). The production-side forecast is an annualized +2.1%.
▶ Q2 GDP growth was mainly driven by domestic demand, while net exports are expected to have made a negative contribution.
▶ The latest official figures suggest a robust increase in production, consumption and capital investment in Q2. However, this might be temporary, as the forecasts from the past month suggest a growth deceleration trend.
▶ Q2 CPI inflation is expected to have decelerated to a modest +0.1% QoQ. We forecast an overall GDP deflator of -0.1% QoQ.
著者
Director, Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis INADA, Yoshihisa
Professor emeritus, Konan University
Macroeconomics, Applied Econometrics, Economic Forecasting
KARAVASILEV, Yani
Researcher
foreign direct investment, international recruitment, corporate agenda setting
関連論文
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ABSTRACT
Gradual recovery driven by domestic demand expected to continue.
Soaring prices and global economic trends remain risk factors.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.142
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Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
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Soaring inflation and global economic slowdown take a toll on the Japanese economy
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (February 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q1 is an annualized -5.1%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.4% QoQ in 2023 Q1.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 118 (February 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Growing risks of rising consumer prices and overseas economic slowdown –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 117 (January 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Growing uncertainties pose downside risks for the economy –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (January 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +2.1%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.0% QoQ in 2022 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.62
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Revised Outlook for Kansai’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate
Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5%in FY 2022, +1.2% in FY 2023, +1.5% in FY 2024
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.141
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Revised Outlook for Japan’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate
– Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5% in FY 2022, +1.1% in FY 2023, +1.4% in FY 2024 –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 116 (December 2022)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Inflation and global economic slowdown pose risks –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (December 2022)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +1.5%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +1.9% QoQ in 2022 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.