Research

Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (July 2019)

▶ We forecast a real annualized GDP growth of +1.5% in Q2 (expenditure side). The production-side forecast is an annualized +2.1%.

▶ Q2 GDP growth was mainly driven by domestic demand, while net exports are expected to have made a negative contribution.

▶ The latest official figures suggest a robust increase in production, consumption and capital investment in Q2. However, this might be temporary, as the forecasts from the past month suggest a growth deceleration trend.

▶ Q2 CPI inflation is expected to have decelerated to a modest +0.1% QoQ. We forecast an overall GDP deflator of -0.1% QoQ.

関連論文

  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.63

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Gradual recovery driven by domestic demand expected to continue.

    Soaring prices and global economic trends remain risk factors.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.142

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Soaring inflation and global economic slowdown take a toll on the Japanese economy

    – Real GDP growth forecast: +1.3% in FY 2022, +0.9% in FY 2023, +1.5% in FY 2024 –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

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  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (February 2023)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q1 is an annualized -5.1%

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.4% QoQ in 2023 Q1.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 118 (February 2023)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    – Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory

    Growing risks of rising consumer prices and overseas economic slowdown –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 117 (January 2023)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    – Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory

    Growing uncertainties pose downside risks for the economy –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (January 2023)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +2.1%

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.0% QoQ in 2022 Q4.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.62

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Revised Outlook for Kansai’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate

    Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5%in FY 2022, +1.2% in FY 2023, +1.5% in FY 2024

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.141

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Revised Outlook for Japan’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate

    – Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5% in FY 2022, +1.1% in FY 2023, +1.4% in FY 2024 –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 116 (December 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    – Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory

    Inflation and global economic slowdown pose risks  –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (December 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +1.5%

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +1.9% QoQ in 2022 Q4.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF