Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (August 2019)
Data updates
▶ Q2 real GDP grew an annualized +1.8% QoQ, expanding for the third consecutive quarter.
▶ The consumption goods production index in July fell -0.3% compared to the Q2 average. In contrast, the capital goods production index in July increased +2.0% compared to the Q2 average.
▶ Compared to the Q2 average, real exports and real imports in July grew +2.1% and +1.1%, respectively. As a result, net exports expanded.
▶ The national Consumer Price Index (CPI) in July increased +0.6%YoY, expanding for the 31st consecutive month.
Forecasts
▶ Our forecast for Q3 real GDP growth (expenditure side) is +0.6% QoQ, or +2.6% if annualized. The production-side forecast is an annualized +2.7%.
▶ We forecast an overall Q3 GDP deflator of +0.2% QoQ.
著者
Director, Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis INADA, Yoshihisa
Professor emeritus, Konan University
Macroeconomics, Applied Econometrics, Economic Forecasting
KARAVASILEV, Yani
Researcher
foreign direct investment, international recruitment, corporate agenda setting
関連論文
-
Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (August 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q3 is an annualized +1.6%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +0.7% QoQ in 2023 Q3.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
-
Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.65
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Kansai’s economy keeps improving, but has yet to reach full recovery.
Economic trends in the U.S., Europe, and China will be key for the outlook.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
-
Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.144
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Real GDP to exceed its pre-pandemic peak driven by decline in imports and increased spending on services
– Real GDP growth forecast: +1.9% in FY 2023, +1.1% in FY 2024 –Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
-
Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 124 (August 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Economy improving, but signs of a standstill in the future:
Inbound tourism is recovering, but export slowdown poses downside risks
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
-
Turning Kansai into an Advanced Sustainable Tourism Region
Research Projects
Research Project » 2023FiscalYear » Japan and Kansai economy
ABSTRACT
Research leader:
Yoshihisa Inada(Director of Research & Director of the Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis, Asia Pacific Institute of Research/Professor Emeritus, Konan University)
Research outline:
Demand by inbound tourism in Kansai is recovering rapidly after the Covid-19 pandemic, and is expected to grow further before Expo 2025. In view of this, this project aims to contribute to the formulation of future tourism strategies by local governments, DMOs, and other actors, by analyzing current issues facing the tourism industry and exploring potential solutions. Our focus is quantitative analysis, and the creation of an index which can quantify and measure the brand power of tourism resources.
-
Toward the Sustainable Development of the Kansai Economy: The Osaka-Kansai Expo
Research Projects
Research Project » 2023FiscalYear » Japan and Kansai economy
ABSTRACT
Research leader:
Yoshihisa Inada (Director of Research & Director of the Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis, Asia Pacific Institute of Research/Professor Emeritus, Konan University)
Research outline:
The aim of this project is to investigate ways to attract investment and people to the Kansai region, by making reference to cities that have achieved economic growth. Furthermore, it aims to analyze how the Web society, including education and human resource development, has to change in order for elementary and junior high school students who will experience the Osaka-Kansai Expo in 2025 (the Expo 2025 generation) to become active players in the world by 2050.
-
Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (July 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q2 is an annualized +5.0%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +1.6% QoQ in 2023 Q2.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
-
Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 123 (July 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Economy improving, but signs of a standstill in the future:
Consumption recovering slowly, but export slowdown poses downside risks
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
-
Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (June 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q2 is an annualized +5.3%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +1.4% QoQ in 2023 Q2.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
-
Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 122 (June 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Economy improving, but signs of a standstill in the future:
Consumption is gradually picking up, but production and exports are slowing down
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.