Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (October 2019)
Data updates
▶ The Q3 index of industrial production declined for the first time in two quarters.
▶ Rush demand before the consumption tax hike is evident in September data on retail sales, which saw robust growth.
▶ Both planned residential construction expenditure and capital goods shipments increased in Q3.
▶ Q3 real net exports expanded.
Forecasts
▶ Our forecast for Q3 real GDP growth is an annualized +0.9%. This forecast is likely to be revised upwards once September data on private final consumption is released.
▶ We forecast an overall GDP deflator of +0.2% QoQ in Q3.
著者
Director, Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis INADA, Yoshihisa
Professor emeritus, Konan University
Macroeconomics, Applied Econometrics, Economic Forecasting
KARAVASILEV, Yani
Researcher
foreign direct investment, international recruitment, corporate agenda setting
関連論文
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (February 2023)
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Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
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ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q1 is an annualized -5.1%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.4% QoQ in 2023 Q1.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 118 (February 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
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ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Growing risks of rising consumer prices and overseas economic slowdown –
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 117 (January 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
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ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Growing uncertainties pose downside risks for the economy –
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (January 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
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ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +2.1%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.0% QoQ in 2022 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.62
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
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ABSTRACT
Revised Outlook for Kansai’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate
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Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.141
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Revised Outlook for Japan’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate
– Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5% in FY 2022, +1.1% in FY 2023, +1.4% in FY 2024 –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 116 (December 2022)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Inflation and global economic slowdown pose risks –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (December 2022)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +1.5%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +1.9% QoQ in 2022 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.