Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (October 2019)
Data updates
▶ The Q3 index of industrial production declined for the first time in two quarters.
▶ Rush demand before the consumption tax hike is evident in September data on retail sales, which saw robust growth.
▶ Both planned residential construction expenditure and capital goods shipments increased in Q3.
▶ Q3 real net exports expanded.
Forecasts
▶ Our forecast for Q3 real GDP growth is an annualized +0.9%. This forecast is likely to be revised upwards once September data on private final consumption is released.
▶ We forecast an overall GDP deflator of +0.2% QoQ in Q3.
著者
Director, Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis INADA, Yoshihisa
Professor emeritus, Konan University
Macroeconomics, Applied Econometrics, Economic Forecasting
KARAVASILEV, Yani
Researcher
foreign direct investment, international recruitment, corporate agenda setting
関連論文
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Turning Kansai into an Advanced Sustainable Tourism Region
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ABSTRACT
Research leader:
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Research outline:
Demand by inbound tourism in Kansai is recovering rapidly after the Covid-19 pandemic, and is expected to grow further before Expo 2025. In view of this, this project aims to contribute to the formulation of future tourism strategies by local governments, DMOs, and other actors, by analyzing current issues facing the tourism industry and exploring potential solutions. Our focus is quantitative analysis, and the creation of an index which can quantify and measure the brand power of tourism resources.
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Toward the Sustainable Development of the Kansai Economy: The Osaka-Kansai Expo
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Research Project » 2023FiscalYear » Japan and Kansai economy
ABSTRACT
Research leader:
Yoshihisa Inada (Director of Research & Director of the Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis, Asia Pacific Institute of Research/Professor Emeritus, Konan University)
Research outline:
The aim of this project is to investigate ways to attract investment and people to the Kansai region, by making reference to cities that have achieved economic growth. Furthermore, it aims to analyze how the Web society, including education and human resource development, has to change in order for elementary and junior high school students who will experience the Osaka-Kansai Expo in 2025 (the Expo 2025 generation) to become active players in the world by 2050.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (July 2023)
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Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
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ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q2 is an annualized +5.0%
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Economy improving, but signs of a standstill in the future:
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Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
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ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q2 is an annualized +5.3%
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