Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (November 2019)
Data updates
▶ Japan’s Q3 real GDP expanded an annualized +0.2% QoQ, well below expectations.
▶ In October, industrial production, plannned dwelling construction, capital goods shipments, real exports and imports all declined. Retail sales shrank by -14.4%, more than they did after the previous tax hike.
Q4 Forecasts
▶ Our forecast for Q4 real GDP growth is an annualized -3.2%.
▶ We forecast an overall GDP deflator of +0.１% QoQ in Q4.
著者
Director, Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis INADA, Yoshihisa
Professor emeritus, Konan University
Macroeconomics, Applied Econometrics, Economic Forecasting
KARAVASILEV, Yani
Researcher
foreign direct investment, international recruitment, corporate agenda setting
関連論文
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ABSTRACT
Gradual recovery driven by domestic demand expected to continue.
Soaring prices and global economic trends remain risk factors.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.142
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Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
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Soaring inflation and global economic slowdown take a toll on the Japanese economy
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (February 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2023 Q1 is an annualized -5.1%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.4% QoQ in 2023 Q1.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 118 (February 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Growing risks of rising consumer prices and overseas economic slowdown –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 117 (January 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Growing uncertainties pose downside risks for the economy –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (January 2023)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +2.1%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +2.0% QoQ in 2022 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.62
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Revised Outlook for Kansai’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate
Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5%in FY 2022, +1.2% in FY 2023, +1.5% in FY 2024
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.141
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Revised Outlook for Japan’s Economy Reflecting the Second Advance 2022 Q3 GDP Estimate
– Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5% in FY 2022, +1.1% in FY 2023, +1.4% in FY 2024 –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 116 (December 2022)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
– Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory
Inflation and global economic slowdown pose risks –
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (December 2022)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q4 is an annualized +1.5%
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of +1.9% QoQ in 2022 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.