Research

Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 80 (December 2019)

Summary: Kansai’s economy is deteriorating but likely to level off

▶  Production: Production in October declined after expanding in September.
▶  International trade: Although Kansai logged a trade surplus in November, exports and imports kept shrinking.
▶  Business confidence: The DI improved in November but it remains low.
▶  Wages: Both nominal and real wages kept declining in September.
▶  Labor market: The number of job openings decreased and unemployment increased in October.
▶  Consumption: Large retailers’ revenues in October slumped after the consumption tax hike.
▶  Housing: The number of new housing starts in October declined.
▶  Construction: The monetary value of construction investments in October kept rising.
▶   Inbound tourism: International arrivals at KIX in November grew despite the decline in Korean visitor numbers.
▶  Chinese economy: China’s PMI improved in November, surpassing the cutoff level of 50 for the first time in seven months. However, the future outlook remains unclear.

 

 

関連論文

  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.60

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Kansai’s economy is picking up, but the speed of     recovery varies significantly across industries.

    Despite the weak outlook, increased investment across the entire region is    expected to bring about an economic turnaround

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.139

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Growth rate revised downward to reflect weak export prospects

    – Real GDP growth forecast: +1.5% in FY2022, +1.5% in FY2023 –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 112 (August 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    –  Kansai’s economy expected to remain on an upward trajectory, but the high number of new infections and inflation remain risk factors –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (July 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q2 is an annualized +1.4%.

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -1.3% QoQ in 2022 Q2.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 111 (July 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    – Kansai’s economy is expected to keep improving.

    Consumption is expected to pick up moderately, but rising prices might exert downward pressure –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (June 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q2 is an annualized +0.7%.

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -1.1% QoQ in 2022 Q2.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 110 (June 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    – Kansai’s economy is expected to keep improving.

    As China’s economy is slowing down, domestic service spending is expected to drive recovery.-

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (May 2022)

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Forecast updates

    ▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2022 Q2 is an annualized -0.4%.

    ▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -1.3% QoQ in 2022 Q2.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly No.59

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    Overseas factors casting a shadow on the normalization of economic activity.

    China’s zero-COVID policy will have a major impact on Kansai’s economy.

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF
  • INADA, Yoshihisa

    Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.138

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast

    Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)

     / DATE : 

    AUTHOR : 
    INADA, Yoshihisa / KARAVASILEV, Yani

    ABSTRACT

    China’s zero-covid policy, high oil prices, and the weak yen pose risks to Japan’s economic recovery

    – Real GDP growth forecast: +1.9% in FY2022, +1.7% in FY2023 –

    Download the full report for a detailed analysis.

    PDF