Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (June 2020)
Abstract
Forecasts updates
▶ Our latest expenditure-side forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q2 is an annualized -25.0% QoQ. Our production-side forecast is an annualized -19.3% QoQ. The average of the two is an annualized -22.1%.
▶ Our forecasts for the private final consumption expenditure deflator and the domestic demand deflator in 2020 Q1 are respectively -0.2% QoQ and -0.3% QoQ. As the terms of trade have improved substantially, we forecast an overall Q2 GDP deflator of +1.2% QoQ.
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著者
Director of Research & Derector of Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis(CQEA) INADA, Yoshihisa
Professor emeritus, Konan University
Macroeconomics, Applied Econometrics, Economic Forecasting
KARAVASILEV, Yani
Associate Professor, Kwansei Gakuin University and Researcher, Asia Pacific Institute of Research
Economic Development, Foreign Direct Investment, International HRM, the Asian and Japanese Economies