Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (September 2020)
Forecasts updates
▶ Our latest forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q3 is an annualized +12.4% QoQ.
▶ We forecast a PCE deflator of +0.3% QoQ in 2020 Q3. In contrast, our GDP deflator forecast is -0.1% QoQ, reflecting the deteriorating terms of trade.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
著者
Director, Center for Quantitative Economic Analysis INADA, Yoshihisa
Professor, Faculty of Economics, Konan University
Macroeconomics, Applied Econometrics, Economic Forecasting
KARAVASILEV, Yani
Researcher
foreign direct investment, international recruitment, corporate agenda setting
関連論文
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The number of foreign visitors and visit ratio by prefecture July report
Insight
Insight » Inbound
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
To a faster reading of “the signs of change” in tourism
Advance estimation of monthly indexes: July report
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The number of foreign visitors and visit ratio by prefecture June report
Insight
Insight » Inbound
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
To a faster reading of “the signs of change” in tourism
Advance estimation of monthly indexes: June report
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.129
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Finding the balance between ensuring economic recovery and containing the second wave of Covid-19: toward a trial-and-error solution
▶ Japan’s Q2 real GDP contracted an annualized -27.8% QoQ. The determinants of GDP decline in Q2 were different from Q1. Download the full report for details.
▶ We have updated our forecast for real GDP growth to -5.9% in FY 2020, and +3.3% in FY 2021. Although ｔhe current economic cycle seems to have reached a trough in May, economic recovery is likely to be slow.
▶ We forecast a core CPI inflation of -0.3% in FY 2020, and +0.4% in FY 2021. Although the decline in energy prices has decelerated, the government’s free childcare program and the partial to complete elimination of tertiary education fees will both put downward pressure on inflation.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (August 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecasts updates
▶ Our latest forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q3 is an annualized +13.6% QoQ.▶ Our latest inflation forecast (GDP deflator) for 2020 Q3 is +0.1% QoQ.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly Vol.50
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Covid-19 deals historic blow to Kansai’s economy. Risks abound despite recovering exports to China.
▶ APIR’s forecast for real GRP growth in Kansai is -5.2% in FY 2020 and +3.3% in FY 2021.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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The number of foreign visitors and visit ratio by prefecture May report
Insight
Insight » Inbound
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
To a faster reading of “the signs of change” in tourism
Advance estimation of monthly indexes: May report
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The number of foreign visitors and visit ratio by prefecture April report
Insight
Insight » Inbound
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
To a faster reading of “the signs of change” in tourism
Advance estimation of monthly indexes: April report
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 88 (August 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook: Kansai’s economy keeps deteriorating but shows signs of bottoming out
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (July 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecasts updates
▶ Our latest forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q2 is an annualized -25.4% QoQ.
▶ We forecast an overall Q2 GDP deflator of +1.1% QoQ.Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 87 (July 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook: Severe economic deterioration looming in Kansai
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.